Returned from CES last week. Slept for a couple days. Woke up. Tried to remember something that will change the world. Couldn't think of anything.

Here's a problem: CES is becoming like the old Comdex. It's like a giant star that's gotten too big and general and will soon Supernova and collapse in upon itself.

Here's another problem. Apple generates the most excitement, both form the technology and a investment perspective, in the mobile consumer electronics space. And Apple doesn't go to CES. So what you have is a gigantic hallway filled with 150,000 people trying to copy Apple.

What's more important is what Apple will do next. Apple will do a sleeker tablet with LTE connectivity. Apple will try to do TV -- again.

That being said, there was stuff to listen to. If you want a list of some potential future tech trends, I wrote about some futuristic stuff on Investor Uprising.

In terms of investment ideas, I believe that the place to look in mobile and consumer is in suppliers and chips, because clearly as devices multiply it opens up many chip markets for many players. Read my CES Investor's Guide on Investor Uprising.

 

 

 

 

 

I have become fascinated by Acai, even though I can still not pronounce it correctly and I won't even bother trying to figure out how to print it with the accent which I can't find on my computer keyboard. I'm an admitted latecomer to the trend. Yes, it's old news. But it's still a good story. The recent New Yorker article did a great job outlining the background.

The New Yorker article tells the tale of how two SoCal chums and University of Colorado grads (Go Buffs!) Ryan and Jeremy Black "discovered" acai in the Braizilian jungle and started marketing it in the United States, kicking off what would become one of the most potent health-food marketing booms in recent history, aided and abetted by none other than Oprah.

What I found interesting about the article is not so much about the controversy surrounding the health benefits of acai (like most debates, the truth lies probably somewhere in between), but the entrepreneurial spirit of the two Black brothers and their partner Edmund Nichols. The went to the jungle with a load of credit-card debt, locked in a long-term contract to sell acai through a Brazilian producer, and spent hundreds of thousands in the first year to ship Acai to the United States. Within two years they were doing half a million in sales and now they do $50 million. Quite an adventure.

The other story in acai is about marketing. How does an obscure jungle fruit go from being a locally enjoyed delicacy to a multi-billion-dollar global business in ten years? Savvy marketing. The blacks hooked into real-world health research and captured the Brazilian mystique. The more nefarious marketeers later leveraged Acai into online marketing scams. But both the legitimate companies and online scammers had something in common: They knew that consumers like a good story, and you can't get much better of a story than a mysterious berry coming out of the Brazilian jungle.

Here is an abstract of the article from the New Yorker (full article available only in print):

ABSTRACT: DEPT. OF FOOD about açaí. Açaí was virtually unknown outside Brazil until ten years ago, when Ryan and Jeremy Black, two brothers from Southern California, and their friend Edmund Nichols began exporting it to America. Embraced as a “superfruit”—a potent mix of cholesterol-reducing fats and anti-aging antioxidants—açaí became one of the fastest-growing foods in history. Supermarkets have become filled with açaí-laced products. Lately, however, studies have questioned the extravagant health claims for açaí, and online vendors selling diluted products have raised the question of whether açaí is a fraud. Early boosters like Oprah Winfrey and Dr. Mehmet Oz sued to remove their names from the marketing, and the Federal Trade Commission shut down the operations of a major Internet açaí seller.

Read more http://www.newyorker.com/reporting/2011/05/30/110530fa_fact_colapinto#ixzz1OKFfI9Ay

Silicon Valley startup ConteXtream (yes, the company name spelling is that silly!)  announced yesterday that it landed $14 million in Series B funding to go after a big problem in global networks: Virtualizing the management of broadband applications and content through data centers.

Here's the big picture: As the use of content and bandwidth-intensive applications such as movies, photos, social networking, and games explodes on mobile and wireline networks, service providers are having major headaches managing the bandwidth as well as allocating resources in the data centers to serve these applicatoins. ConteXtream's product, a software solution that loads on commodity PC hardware, adds "smarts" to the network delivery of these applications, allowing service providers to manage the resources on their data centers as a single virtualized "grid."

Well, the 3Par bidding war saga looks to be coming to an end as HP's final $33 offer has been accepted and Dell has pulled out of the race.

It makes you wonder about the "efficient market" theory, doesn't it? I mean, here is a stock that was trading around $10 and basically flatlined for about a year, only to suddenly increase by more than 300% in a period of three weeks. The market certainly wasn't efficient at pricing 3Par shares.

Here are the latest stats on 3Par at the current near-$33 level:

Market Cap: $2B

Forward P/E: 122

Revenue (TTM) $203M

Price/Sales (TTM): 9.84

Enterprise value/EBITDA: 294

Hmmm. Not sure I'd call that a bargain.

Onto the rest of the news:

 

I'm a key influencer. I'm also a technology evangelist, analyst, and journalist. And I can also leverage core competencies. Uh-oh. Sick of me yet?

We live in a world of prototypes, buzzwords, hype, and cliche. That's why I think CIO has hit the market with an article on the "10 Loathsome Technology Industry Types."

Here's an excerpt:

Vendor Marketing EVP You've got great hair—and you know it. Every conversation inevitably returns to "synergistic opportunities for the brand" or "CSR initiatives." You've got an iPhone 4 and you're hip to Facebook and Foursquare. Your most recent and greatest idea (if you do say so yourself): "I know how we'll get potential customers' contact information: Free iPad Giveaway! No one else is doing it!"

Venture Capitalist Wait, wait, don't tell me: You're based in the San Francisco / Palo Alto area, right? Uh-huh. And you once worked for HP or IBM? Yes. You enjoy yachting and golf? You betcha. And, of course, don't forget about your passion for "fine wine." How unique.

The Influencer A relatively new moniker for the same old type of self-aggrandizing, undeserving attention whore of years past: You've probably referred to yourself as a "guru" or "visionary" before. But your "highly soughtafter" methodology for measuring your Twitter influence is a secret worth keeping close to the vest. Definitely.

Pretty good stuff. Go check out the full story at CIO.com: "Influence This: 10 Loathsome Technology Industry Types."

 

What's on my mind this morning? Litigation. Like, Paul Allen suing everybody. And everybody suing Facebook.

What's up with that? Has the economy gotten so bad that the world is looking to lawyers to boost buisness activity?

In other news:

Genzyme rejects Sanofi bid (Wall Street Journal)

Intel to buy Infineon's wireless outfit for $1.4B (CNN Money).

Blackberry gets a stay in India (BBC). Quick -- figure out how to let people spy!

HP authorizes $10B buyback (Bloomberg). Bidding wars, buybacks -- who needs all that cash, anyway.

Government to propose new fuel economy stickers (USA Today). They'll come with pretty new graphics! Yay, now that's what I call bureaucracy at work...

Most people don't want to be located (NY Times). Especially me. Right now.

Google plans pay-per-view films (Financial Times).

Cisco is reportedly trying to buy Skype before its IPO (TechCrunch).

Is there a more explosive economic concept than combining iProducts with China? Didn't think so. In that vein, MarketWatch reports that China Unicom starts to ship iPhone 4 in China next month.

Our mind is boggled by the concept of hundreds of millions of frenetic Chinese citizens roaming the fastest growing country on earth clutching iPhones and iPads.

On to the rest of the news:

The Internet advertising industry appears to be in denial about the growing momentum behind Internet privacy -- and it should start to prepare for more protection of data through global privacy legislation.

As I noted last week, the European Union is moving toward privacy policies, most notably with the "cookie directive" which would require all advertisers to obtain opt-in to place cookies in user browsers.  In addition, we are in the early stages of new privacy legislation in the United States which would introduce tighter Internet privacy.

All of these powerful new regulations are likely to put signficant pressure on Internet media, most notably the ecosystem of ad networks and data exchanges.

Dell is making a big move into the data storage market with a $1.15 billion all-cash deal for 3Par Inc. It comes at an interesting time, as 3Par's growth and share price had recently slowed and it is still losing money. The offer is an 86% premium to 3Par's closing price Friday of $9.65

The move shows Dell has an interest in moving outside the commoditized world of PCs and comsumer electronics and into higher margin data-center products. 3Par specializes in building large storage arrays for corporations and data centers which can be "virtualized," or partitioned so that the system can handle data from many applications at once.

At any rate, it's paying off big for 3Par shareholders this morning with the stock indicating it will trade up nearly 85%.

The "Net Neutrality" debate has taken a interesting turn this week, triggered by Verizon and Google's joint statement to move toward more tiered services on the Internet.

Here's where I am on net neutrality: It's not black or white. It's gray. Yes, we need to preserve an element of freedom to access applications over broadband. But also, the definition of net neutraility needs to leave some wiggle room to help telecom and media companies roll out some newer premium appications that make money.

I think the recent developments are actually exciting, because there is now a catalyst for change and the debate is out on the table. Verizon and Google getting together is kind of like the executives of the Boston Red Sox and New York Yankees coming to the table on a stadium-sharing deal. But this shows how crucial the issue is, if two of the most powerful corporations in the world are willing to come to the table to talk about it.

As the net neutraility fanatics grab their pitchforks and fire up their blogs, ready the roast the big evil corporations that are trying to swipe away their YouTube Internet, they're being naive if they think things can stay as they are. Stuff's gonna change.