Returned from CES last week. Slept for a couple days. Woke up. Tried to remember something that will change the world. Couldn't think of anything.

Here's a problem: CES is becoming like the old Comdex. It's like a giant star that's gotten too big and general and will soon Supernova and collapse in upon itself.

Here's another problem. Apple generates the most excitement, both form the technology and a investment perspective, in the mobile consumer electronics space. And Apple doesn't go to CES. So what you have is a gigantic hallway filled with 150,000 people trying to copy Apple.

What's more important is what Apple will do next. Apple will do a sleeker tablet with LTE connectivity. Apple will try to do TV -- again.

That being said, there was stuff to listen to. If you want a list of some potential future tech trends, I wrote about some futuristic stuff on Investor Uprising.

In terms of investment ideas, I believe that the place to look in mobile and consumer is in suppliers and chips, because clearly as devices multiply it opens up many chip markets for many players. Read my CES Investor's Guide on Investor Uprising.

 

 

 

 

 

The gold and silver negativity is suddenly back on financial TV after euphoria just a week ago -- you know what that means: Time to buy!

I picked up some more gold, silver, and mining shares on this AM's flush. We've come a long way back from this morning's sell-off. At one point we were down $20, now we are only down $6 on the day. Gold has now tested the $1370 level twice and survived; silver has tested $28 twice. Both of them are developing well-defined uptrend channels. I think the metals will bottom either today or Monday.

One of the overhangs has been the anticipation of a Chinese rate hike. That, and the fact that many people had a nice run in the metals meant profit-taking ahead of year-end. But everybody is talking about a Chinese rate hiike so how much of a surprise can it be? I say you buy on Monday whether or not there is a rate hike.

All of this sets up for a nice buy point some $50 or so off the recent high in gold. The last three corrections have been swift in violent: $74-$100 flushes in a matter of days, only to reverse higher. I think we will see a similar thing of this correction, most of which is probably done.

 

Silicon Valley startup ConteXtream (yes, the company name spelling is that silly!)  announced yesterday that it landed $14 million in Series B funding to go after a big problem in global networks: Virtualizing the management of broadband applications and content through data centers.

Here's the big picture: As the use of content and bandwidth-intensive applications such as movies, photos, social networking, and games explodes on mobile and wireline networks, service providers are having major headaches managing the bandwidth as well as allocating resources in the data centers to serve these applicatoins. ConteXtream's product, a software solution that loads on commodity PC hardware, adds "smarts" to the network delivery of these applications, allowing service providers to manage the resources on their data centers as a single virtualized "grid."

Well, the 3Par bidding war saga looks to be coming to an end as HP's final $33 offer has been accepted and Dell has pulled out of the race.

It makes you wonder about the "efficient market" theory, doesn't it? I mean, here is a stock that was trading around $10 and basically flatlined for about a year, only to suddenly increase by more than 300% in a period of three weeks. The market certainly wasn't efficient at pricing 3Par shares.

Here are the latest stats on 3Par at the current near-$33 level:

Market Cap: $2B

Forward P/E: 122

Revenue (TTM) $203M

Price/Sales (TTM): 9.84

Enterprise value/EBITDA: 294

Hmmm. Not sure I'd call that a bargain.

Onto the rest of the news:

 

The "Net Neutrality" debate has taken a interesting turn this week, triggered by Verizon and Google's joint statement to move toward more tiered services on the Internet.

Here's where I am on net neutrality: It's not black or white. It's gray. Yes, we need to preserve an element of freedom to access applications over broadband. But also, the definition of net neutraility needs to leave some wiggle room to help telecom and media companies roll out some newer premium appications that make money.

I think the recent developments are actually exciting, because there is now a catalyst for change and the debate is out on the table. Verizon and Google getting together is kind of like the executives of the Boston Red Sox and New York Yankees coming to the table on a stadium-sharing deal. But this shows how crucial the issue is, if two of the most powerful corporations in the world are willing to come to the table to talk about it.

As the net neutraility fanatics grab their pitchforks and fire up their blogs, ready the roast the big evil corporations that are trying to swipe away their YouTube Internet, they're being naive if they think things can stay as they are. Stuff's gonna change.

Oh, this is fantastic, Oracle is suing Google. Larry Ellison vs. Eric Schmidt -- the Alpha Male vs. the Science Geek. This is going to be very interesting!

Oracle says in a press release that Google "knowingly, directly and repeatedly infringed Oracle's Java-related intellectual property." What's interesting is that it involves Java technology, which Oracle acquired when it bought Sun Microsystems earlier in the year. Hmmm, did Oracle lawyers know something that Sun lawyers didnt?

I'm sure you'll be reading more about that in the days ahead. On to some more news:

 

 

A great why to find advantageous companies is to look at those driving key technology market trends and generating good business results when the rest of the market is struggling. This story fits Synaptics, the touch-interface specialists, perfectly.

Synaptics makes human interfaces (mostly touchpads and touchscreens) for a variety of PC and smartphone devices. Big customers include Dell, LG, Ericsson, HTC, and Sony. The company has grown fast, roughly doubling revenue and earnings since 2007, at a time when the economy has been dark, at best. During this time, the stock price has been volatile, but largely flat, and the stock price relative to earnings has gotten cheaper and cheaper.

The company announced earnings yesterday, reporting net income of $19.3 million, or 54 cents a share, compared with $12.4 million, or 34 cents a share, a year ago. Synaptics earned 70 cents a share. Revenue hit $145.8 million, a ries of 27% over last year.  

Very interesting article by Peter Kafka in AllThingsD this morning about Time Inc.'s frustration with Apple. Apparently Time executives are mystified as to why Apple won't give them control to sell their own subscriptions via an app for the iPad.

Well, I'll tell you why: Apple loves to control the billing relationship. They don't want to give it up. This was the brilliance of iTunes and how they ended up taking control of digital music from the music industry. It was the music industry's huge strategic error. Apple knows that if they control the billing relationship, they control the access to the customer, and therefore can dictate the terms of just about any ecommerce relationship.

Why Time Inc. executives are so "mystified" by this is a mystery to me. Apparently their magazine executives are not talking to executives in the same company that got reamed in the music business. Apple wants to control billing, they want to control pricing, and they want to control the consumer. Period. You want to try to mess with that? Take a hike.

This is one reason why I don't think the iPad will be the "savior" of the media industry that everybody has made it out to be. Unless Apple opens up, and starts sharing a bigger piece of the pie with content and applications producers, it will be the same movie all over again.

Tech earnings reports are rolling in like Budeweisers in a NASCAR infield, and we've got it covered. What's striking is the range of results, from earnings bombs like Netflix, and Amazon, to solid efforts from blue chips Apple and Microsoft.

Here's our recap of the Winners and Losers of earnings season:

Broadband equipment maker Calix is rallying on its first post-IPO earnings release, after it announced that revenue increased 50%.

The company announced revenue for the second quarter of 2010 of $71.7 million, an increase of 50% from revenue reported for the second quarter of 2009 of $47.8 million. It also booked a GAAP net loss of $3.2 million, or pro forma $(0.09) per share, compared to a GAAP net loss of $8.8 million, or pro forma $(0.33) per share, reported for the second quarter of 2009.

In the pre-market, the stock was bid at around $11.75, which would be a 10% gain over yesterday's closing price of $10.80.

[Editor's update: Though the stock initially rallied, it later sold off on the conference call when the company issued weaker-than-expected guidance. Read our update here.]

Calix President and CEO said the results were due to gains in braodband sales and that the results represent gaining "momentum."

Calix is the beneficiary of several trends, among them the demand for broadband access brought about by mobile and the expansion of Web and video applicatoins, as well as a boost to the rural broadband market brought about by the broadband stimulus package from the government.