The market is pretty fascinating right now. It is currently featuring 100-point intra-month S&P swings, a solid rally in eccentric commodities like coffee, currencies bouncing around like ping-pong balls, and wild technology M&A speculation. What's not to like?

My bearish thinking is beginning to morph into a more bullish tilt. The reasoning for this is three-fold: 1) The Feds are printing more money 2) Technical "Commitment of Traders" (COT) reports show institutional buyers getting more bullish and retail investors getting more bearish -- usually a bullish indicator 3) it's looking like the bears have had trouble taking the market down in September, which is when they usually take it down.

This bidding war between HP and Dell for 3Par says something to me about big technology companies: They are stuck. They can't grow internally, so they have to look outside the company.

If you think about the evolution of all big industries, they trend toward consolidation and giant companies eating up new companies in the search for growth and innovation. This certainly appears to be the case with players like HP, Dell, Microsoft, and Cisco. The new innovation is not coming from within, it's coming from outside.